Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears odds, picks and predictions

Ethan Matthew

Staff Writer

The Detroit Lions (9-3) face the Chicago Bears (4-8) Sunday. Kickoff from Soldier Field is at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Lions vs. Bearsodds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both the Lions and Bears won in Week 13 in 1-score games. Detroit scored 3 touchdowns in the 1st quarter against the New Orleans Saints, who failed to score. Its defense then allowed 4 touchdowns, but Detroit held on for a 33-28 victory.

Chicago won its Thursday game against the Minnesota Vikings thanks to its defense, which intercepted QB Joshua Dobbs 4 times. In a 12-10 game, those turnovers made the difference. Now it is well rested and at home as it tries to keep the division standings close.

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Lions at Bears odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:09 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lions -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Bears +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Lions -3.5 (+100) | Bears +3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lions at Bears key injuries

Lions

C Frank Ragnow (knee, back, toe) out
LB Malcolm Rodriguez (ankle) questionable

Bears

DL Yannick Ngakoue (knee) questionable
WR Equanimeous St. Brown (pectoral) out

Lions at Bears picks and predictions

Prediction

Lions 24, Bears 20

Moneyline

Detroit (-175) on paper is the better team. It is 2nd in yards per game (400.6), and its rushing defense — which is 5th in opponent YPG (93.1) — matches up well against a Bears team that likes to run. Chicago averages 31.3 rushes per game, the 4th-highest clip in the NFL.

On top of that, the Lions have won 8 of their last 10 road games, while the Bears are 0-3 after a win. But at -175, it's a bit too juicy. You should PASS, and look towards the spread — unless you want to make this a teaser.

Against the spread

Trendwise, the Lions are 4-0 ATS as road favorites, and they have covered in 66.7% of their games overall (8-4 ATS).

The Bears are 1-2-2 ATS at home and lost 31-26 to this Lions team 3 weeks ago. I like the Lions laying 3.5 at even money.

LEAN LIONS -3.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The Lions have allowed 25 or more points in 5 of the past 6 weeks. Pair that with a Bears defense that allows the highest red-zone touchdown percentage (73.5%) and the 3rd-worst pass completion percentage (68.4%), and it's easy for these teams to find a rhythm.

BET OVER 43 (-110).

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