VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds, picks and predictions
VfB Stuttgart (10 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) welcome Bayer Leverkusen (11-2-0) to MHPArena Sunday. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Stuttgart is a near-perfect 6-0-1 at home this season. That lone loss was on Oct. 28 to Hoggenheim 3-2. Stuttgart beat Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16 in their midweek match. It has won 4 straight games throughout all competitions and 3 straight in league play. Stuttgart is led by F Serhou Guirassy, who has scored 16 goals in 11 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen are 5-1-0 on the road this season. They have tallied 38 goals (2.92 per game) and allowed 11 (0.85 per game) throughout their 13 league matches. Their last league game was a 1-1 home draw against Dortmund. They had won their 8 prior league games. Bayer are led by F Victor Boniface, who has scored 8 goals in 13 matches.
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VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: VfB Stuttgart +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Bayer Leverkusen +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Draw +280
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +125 | U: -175)
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen picks and predictions
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen 2, VfB Stuttgart 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET BAYER LEVERKUSEN (+125).
Bayer have a good road resume this season. They have won 5 of 6 games with that lone draw coming in a 2-2 road tie with Bayern Munich, one of the best clubs in the world. They have had more expected goals in 4 of those 6 games and as many expected goals once.
While Stuttgart has won 6 of 7 at home, it doesn't have many quality wins. It is 1-0-1 against top-6 teams at home, and Bayer sit atop the league with the Bundesliga's 2nd-best goal differential. This will be a different beast for the home side.
Back BAYER LEVERKUSEN (+125).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-175).
While both teams have tallied 30 or more goals through 13 matches, they also have a few of the best defenses in the Bundesliga. Stuttgart is tied for the 3rd-fewest goals allowed (15), while Leverkusen has allowed the fewest goals (11).
Leverkusen has 3 away clean sheets yet has had more than 1.1 expected goals in 3 games as well, so it hasn't necessarily dominated on offense and has been terrific on the defensive end. Stuttgart has gone under this total in its last 2 home matches and has allowed more than 1 goal in just 1 of 7 home matches.
Back UNDER 3.5 (-175), but only for a partial-unit due to the juice on the value here.
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